DOFG.OL DOF Group

Offshore · CSV / AHTS / PSV / PLSV / Cable_layer · 66 documents

DOF Group's 60-vessel offshore fleet — 26 Csv, 21 AHTS, 6 PSV and 7 across 2 other classes — should earn about $99,451 a day in 2026Q3 and pay between $0.33 and $0.42 a share. That is our forecast (PATTERN payout on ASSUMED TCE).

Last paid · 2026Q2
$0.38
10.8% annualised
$99,451/d earned
· +3% vs prior quarter
2026Q3 · our model
$0.33–0.42
9.6–12.1% annualised
$99,451/d modelled
PATTERN payout on ASSUMED TCE
low payout-history fit
2026Q4 · our model
$0.38
10.8% annualised
$99,451/d modelled
payout-history fit · $0.33–$0.42

Yields annualise each quarter ×4 at the last close, $14.01 (2026-10-19). Our model is not company guidance.

What will DOF Group pay for 2026Q3?

Company said
DOF Group has published no booked rates for 2026Q3. It does not say what it will pay — turning its rates into a dividend is our job.
—
—
no dividend given
Our model
Every day at the company's own last realized rate; dividend by payout-history fit. Range $0.33–$0.42.
$99,451/d
modelled
$0.38
low confidence · PATTERN payout on ASSUMED TCE

Rates in, dividend out 2026Q3

Model Your scenario

Set a rate per vessel class and the statement below re-prices: our model’s figures in one column, yours beside them. These are your numbers, not our forecast and not company guidance; nothing you set is saved.

Latest rates

ClassCompany earnedBooked 2026Q3Market now8 weeks
Csv · 26 $99,4512026Q2 · fleet avg —none printed —no open $/day series
Ahts · 21 $99,4512026Q2 · fleet avg —none printed —no open $/day series
Psv · 6 $99,4512026Q2 · fleet avg —none printed —no open $/day series
Plsv · 6 $99,4512026Q2 · fleet avg —none printed —no open $/day series
Cable_Layer · 1 $99,4512026Q2 · fleet avg —none printed —no open $/day series

Company earned: the issuer’s own reported TCE (linked). Booked: cover the issuer printed for 2026Q3. Market now: the median across the broker route prints we hold for the class — a derived blend, not a vendor index; the trend is rebased to 100 eight weeks ago.

Your rates every day is at your rate

Csv 2,392 open days
Ahts 1,932 open days
Psv 552 open days
Plsv 552 open days
Cable_Layer 92 open days

2026Q3 P&L and cash

LineModelYour scenarioΔ
Vessel-days, days modelled

Ships on the fleet list × the quarter's calendar days for ahts, cable_layer, csv, plsv, psv: no off-hire or drydock days are deducted there.

5,520 5,520
By class
ClassDaysModel $/dayYours $/day
Csv2,39299,45199,451
Ahts1,93299,45199,451
Psv55299,45199,451
Plsv55299,45199,451
Cable_Layer9299,45199,451
Fleet TCE, $/day assumed 99,451 99,451
Revenue (TCE basis), $m assumed

Vessel-days × fleet TCE.

549.0 549.0
Vessel opex, $m assumed

2026Q2: $366.0m over 5,520 vessel-days, held per day.

(366.0) (366.0)
G&A, $m assumed

2026Q2: $0.0m over 5,520 vessel-days, held per day.

0.0 0.0
EBITDA, $m assumed 183.0 183.0
Hire for chartered-in ships, $m

Not on file for any quarter (not extracted, or not disclosed).

— —
Interest expense, $m assumed

2026Q2: $31.0m over 5,520 vessel-days, held per day.

(31.0) (31.0)
Scheduled debt amortisation, $m stated

2026Q2: $31.0m over 5,520 vessel-days, held per day (the issuer’s scheduled principal).

(31.0) (31.0)
Drydock cost, $m

No separate drydock cash line on file.

— —
Cash break-even, $/day assumed

Σ cash costs above ÷ vessel-days.

77,536 77,536
Cushion vs fleet TCE, $/day 21,915 21,915
Free cash flow to equity, $m assumed

Revenue − cash costs: the cash available for distribution.

121.0 121.0
Maintenance capex, $m

Not disclosed as a cash line; not in the model’s cash.

—

Dividend policy pattern

No stated payout policy on file.

Dividend by payout-history fit; it does not move with the rate, so your scenario leaves it unchanged.

OutputModelYour scenarioΔ
Estimated DPS, $/share assumed $0.38
Forward yield, run-rate % 10.8%
vs last declared ($0.38, 2026Q2) -0%

Yield annualises the quarter’s DPS × 4 (a run-rate, not a forecast of the year) against the $14.01 close on 2026-10-19.

Our model’s DPS comes from payout-history fit, which moves with the rate but cannot be re-run here — your scenario moves the cash line, not the DPS.

Showing the model’s own figures. Setting your own rates needs JavaScript.

Dividend per share declared · model

$0.352025Q4$0.372026Q1$0.382026Q2$0.382026Q3$0.382026Q4solid = declared · dashed = our model

Market context — rates, the dividend, and the price

Rates and dividend — realized rate and declared

Realized fleet TCEModelDeclared DPS
forecast →
$0k
$50k
$100k
2025Q4
2026Q1
2026Q2
2026Q3
2026Q4
Declared DPS, USD/share — solid: declared · dashed: model
$0.35
$0.37
$0.38
$0.38
$0.38
2025Q4 ex 2026-02-25 · rec 2026-02-26 · pay 2026-03-05

Bars are the fleet TCE this issuer reported. Dashed-outline bars are the model estimate — see Dividend forecast.

The line is the declared dividend per share — dashed where it is the model's estimate. Model estimate — not issuer guidance.

Forward (our model — model quarter ×4): $1.51/yr · @ $14.01 (as of 2026-10-19) = 10.8% yield (spot-exposure scenario)

How we got the number

How to read this page

Every figure here is built the same way: the fleet's vessel-days are priced at the rate its classes earned, costs and debt service come off, and what is left is measured against the dividend the company actually declared. Nothing is estimated where it can be sourced, and a number that cannot be sourced is withheld rather than filled in. The full method, and the rates behind it →

Where DOFG.OL departs from that

  • No market index covers this fleet's vessel types, so each is priced at the company's own last realized rate per calendar vessel-day (revenue divided by vessel-days), held flat — the revenue track record shows how that has done.
  • Fewer than four quarters of paired rate-and-dividend history, so the payout relationship is indicative rather than fitted.
  • Vessel-days are modelled from the fleet list (ships × days in the quarter); no issuer day count is curated for this quarter.
  • Csv: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26).
  • Ahts: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26).

What drives it — fleet TCE, 2026Q3

Expected fleet TCE
$99,451/d
ASSUMED
How we got to the DPS
Payout-history fit PATTERN payout on ASSUMED TCE $0.38
Stated payout policy declined — the company publishes no payout policy this model can read

Earnings bridge — 2026Q2 → 2026Q3

Anchor DPS (2026Q2) $0.38
Expected DPS (2026Q3) $0.38

Dividend history & forecast accuracy

Upcoming

QuarterEx-date (est.)Forecast DPSActual DPS
2026Q3 E—$0.38—
2026Q4 E2027-02-25 est.$0.38—
PeriodDPSKindEx-datePay dateSource
ex 2026-08-27 $0.38/share regular 2026-08-27 2026-09-04 as of 2026-09-04 key information announcement
ex 2026-05-28 $0.37/share regular 2026-05-28 2026-06-04 as of 2026-06-04 key information announcement
2025-Q4 $0.35/share regular 2026-02-25 2026-03-05 as of 2026-02-19 key information announcement
ex 2025-11-19 $0.35/share regular 2025-11-19 2025-11-27 as of 2025-11-27 key information announcement

DPS method: payout-history fit.

Financials & fleet

Latest quarter 2026Q2 2 qtrs old

Fleet
60
Realized TCE
$99,451/d 2026Q2
Declared DPS
$0.38 2026Q2
TTM DPS
—
Coverage
—
Revenue
$543.0M
Opex
$366.0M
Net income
—

21× ahts · 1× cable layer · 26× csv · 6× plsv · 6× psv current

Revenue model track record model vs realized

Each quarter priced at the previous quarter's realized rate, held flat — the figure the model holds once that quarter is reported — against the rate the fleet actually realized. Average miss 10.1% over 3 backtested quarters.

QuarterRecordModel $/dayRealized $/dayModel rev $MRealized rev $MMiss
2025Q4backtest 77,46776,964 427.6424.8 +0.7%
2026Q1backtest 76,96474,014 415.6399.7 +4.0%
2026Q2backtest 74,01499,451 404.1543.0 -25.6%

Backtest rows apply today's rule to past quarters using only the prior quarters' reported rates; live rows are the forecast as frozen on the date shown. Revenue is rate × vessel-days, so a miss here is a rate miss.

Fleet model — 2026Q3

Fleet model estimate — not issuer guidance.

ClassShipsTCSpot% FixedGuided $/dSpot $/dBlended $/dQTD rev $MModeled Q rev $M
Csv26—— — — — 99,451 — 237.9
Ahts21—— — — — 99,451 — 192.1
Psv6—— — — — 99,451 — 54.9
Plsv6—— — — — 99,451 — 54.9
Cable_Layer1—— — — — 99,451 — 9.1
Total60 99,451 — 549.0

Guided rates are issuer-booked cover for 2026Q3 blended with the company's own realized rates for the open days.

Expected DPS
$0.33–$0.42/share
Annualized
$1.34–$1.69/yr
Revenue if rates hold
$549.0M
Confidence
LOW

Bear uses booked coverage only; Base prices open vessels at the company's own last realized fleet rate — no market index covers this fleet, so there is no peak-index Bull case.

Model gaps & assumptions

csv: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) · ahts: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) · psv: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) · plsv: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) · cable layer: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $99,451/day (2026Q2, derived: revenue per vessel-day — day-rate contracts USD 543m / (60 owned x 91)), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) · one-model DPS not used: fewer than 3 quarters of rate and dividend history, no break-even, or it does not explain the company's own dividends (R² < 0.5)

Profit statement highlights

Line2026Q22026Q1YoY Δ
Revenue $543.0M $413.0M —
Opex $366.0M — —
Net income — — —

reconciliation: insufficient data for an earnings bridge (2026Q2) earnings bridge incomplete — treat income-derived figures as provisional

Full P&L grid — 4 quarters
Line item2026Q22026Q12025Q42025Q3
Revenue $M543.0413.0439.0449.0
Voyage expenses $M————
Vessel opex $M366.0———
G&A $M0.0———
Depreciation $M————
Interest expense, gross $M31.0———
Net income $M————
Declared DPS0.380.370.35—

Realized fleet TCE

Realized fleet TCE versus benchmark: 4 points, 2025-07-01 to 2026-04-01; Realized fleet TCE latest 99,451.00.

image/svg+xml Jul Sep Nov 2026 Mar 75,000 80,000 85,000 90,000 95,000 100,000 99,451 Realized fleet TCE USD/day

Benchmark comparison will appear once issuer-printed benchmark data is available.

Benchmark index — monthly average

Benchmark index monthly average: 5 points, 2025-08-01 to 2026-04-01; HE semi dayrate (fixtures) latest 450,000.00; 7th-gen drillship (fixtures) latest 357,250.00; 6th-gen drillship (fixtures) latest 300,000.00; Jackup dayrate (fixtures) latest 150,000.00.

Benchmark index monthly average

Guidance & sources

Sources — press, filings & documents

Press & filings by quarter

QuarterReportPresentationDividendOther
2026Q4 — — — DOF Group ASA - Contract extension, DOF Group ASA - Awarded Subsea Decommissioning…, DOF Group ASA - Letter of intent for Large con…
2026Q3 DOF Group ASA - Financial Report for 2nd quart… DOF Group ASA - Invitation to presentation of … DOF Group ASA - Ex dividend USD 0.38 today, DOF Group ASA - Key information relating to ca… DOF Group ASA - Capital Markets Day, 15 Septem…, DOF Group ASA - Mandatory notification of trad…, DOF Group ASA - Exercise and settlement of sha…, DOF Group ASA - Subsea service contract awards…, DOF Group ASA - Invitation to Capital Markets …, DOF Group ASA - Invitation to Capital Markets …, DOF Group ASA - Contract awards for 2x AHTS ve…, DOF Group ASA - Contract extensions for Skandi…, DOF Group ASA - Contract awards for 2x AHTS ve…, DOF Group ASA - Further fleet optimisation thr…, DOF Group ASA - Letter of award for 4-year con…, DOF Group ASA - Contract award in the APAC reg…, DOF Group ASA - Contract extension for Skandi …, DOF Group ASA - Subsea construction, mooring, …
2026Q2 DOF Group ASA - Financial Report for 1st quart…, DOF Group ASA - Annual Report 2025 DOF Group ASA - Invitation to presentation of … DOF Group ASA - Ex dividend USD 0.37 today, DOF Group ASA - Key information relating to ca… DOF Group ASA - Contract extension for Skandi …, DOF Group ASA - Awarded 3-year contract for Sk…, DOF Group ASA - Mandatory notification of trad…, DOF Group ASA - Sale of vessel, DOF Group ASA - Minutes from the annual genera…, DOF Group ASA - Awarded 12-year charter/servic…, DOF Group ASA - Contract Award in the APAC Reg…, DOF Group ASA - Notice of annual general meeti…
2026Q1 DOF Group ASA - Financial Report for 4th quart… DOF Group ASA - Invitation to presentation of … DOF Group ASA - Ex dividend USD 0.35 today, DOF Group ASA - Key information relating to ca… DOF Group ASA - Awarded cable replacement cont…, DOF Group ASA - Amendment to term loan facilit…, DOF Group ASA - High-grading of AHTS fleet thr…, DOF Group ASA - Contract award in Argentina, DOF Group ASA - Contract award and extension, DOF Group ASA - Contract award for well interv…, DOF Group ASA - Contract award in Guyana, Financial calendar
2025Q4 DOF Group ASA - Financial Report for 3rd quart… DOF Group ASA - Invitation to presentation of … DOF Group ASA - Ex dividend USD 0.35 today, DOF Group ASA - Key information relating to ca… DOF Group ASA - Long-term RSV contract in Braz…, DOF Group ASA - Two contract awards in the APA…, DOF Group ASA - Project awards in the Atlantic…, DOF Group ASA - Seven contract extensions in B…, DOF Group ASA - Successful listing of bond iss…, Euronext Oslo Børs – DOF Group ASA - Mottatt s…, Euronext Oslo Børs – DOF Group ASA- Received a…, Financial calendar, DOF Group ASA - Awarded a subsea services cont…, DOF Group ASA - Contract extensions for three …, DOF Group ASA - Contract extensions for Skandi…, DOF Group ASA - Two long-term contracts in Bra…, DOF Group ASA - Project awards in the North Am…, DOF Group ASA - Financing of field support new…
2025Q3 — — — DOF Group ASA - Service contracts awarded in B…, DOF Group ASA - Short-term contracts in Brazil

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