ALNG.OL ALNG (Awilco LNG)
Gas · LNGC · 89 documents
ALNG (Awilco LNG)'s 2-vessel gas fleet should earn about $32,600 a day in 2026Q3.
Rates in, dividend out 2026Q3
Model Your scenarioSet a rate per vessel class and the statement below re-prices: our model’s figures in one column, yours beside them. These are your numbers, not our forecast and not company guidance; nothing you set is saved.
Latest rates
| Class | Company earned | Booked 2026Q3 | Market now | 8 weeks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lngc · 2 | $32,6002026Q2 · fleet avg | —none printed | —no open $/day series |
Company earned: the issuer’s own reported TCE (linked). Booked: cover the issuer printed for 2026Q3. Market now: the median across the broker route prints we hold for the class — a derived blend, not a vendor index; the trend is rebased to 100 eight weeks ago.
Your rates every day is at your rate
2026Q3 P&L and cash
| Line | Model | Your scenario | Δ | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vessel-days, days modelledShips on the fleet list × the quarter's calendar days for lngc: no off-hire or drydock days are deducted there. |
184 | 184 | |||||||||
By class
| |||||||||||
| Fleet TCE, $/day assumed | 32,600 | 32,600 | |||||||||
Revenue (TCE basis), $m assumedVessel-days × fleet TCE. |
6.0 | 6.0 | |||||||||
Vessel opex, $m assumed2026Q2: $3.8m over 184 vessel-days, held per day. |
(3.8) | (3.8) | |||||||||
G&A, $m assumed2026Q2: $1.5m over 184 vessel-days, held per day. |
(1.5) | (1.5) | |||||||||
| EBITDA, $m assumed | 0.7 | 0.7 | |||||||||
Hire for chartered-in ships, $mNot on file for any quarter (not extracted, or not disclosed). |
— | — | |||||||||
Interest expense, $m assumed2026Q2: $2.8m over 184 vessel-days, held per day. |
(2.8) | (2.8) | |||||||||
Scheduled debt amortisation, $m stated2026Q2: $0.0m over 184 vessel-days, held per day (the issuer’s scheduled principal). |
0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||||
Drydock cost, $mNo separate drydock cash line on file. |
— | — | |||||||||
Cash break-even, $/day assumedΣ cash costs above ÷ vessel-days. |
44,103 | 44,103 | |||||||||
| Cushion vs fleet TCE, $/day | (11,503) | (11,503) | |||||||||
Free cash flow to equity, $m assumedRevenue − cash costs: the cash available for distribution. |
(2.1) | (2.1) | |||||||||
Maintenance capex, $mNot disclosed as a cash line; not in the model’s cash. |
— | ||||||||||
Dividend policy
No stated payout policy on file.
| Output | Model | Your scenario | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estimated DPS, $/share | — | ||
| Forward yield, run-rate % | — |
Yield annualises the quarter’s DPS × 4 (a run-rate, not a forecast of the year) against the $0.36 close on 2026-10-19.
No dividend is modelled for 2026Q3: the company states no payout policy and no declared distributions are on file.
Showing the model’s own figures. Setting your own rates needs JavaScript.
Why no forward dividend next step: payout behaviour
This page prices a fleet, takes off its cash costs and debt service, and measures what is left against the payout. The step it cannot take today: the company states no payout policy and no declared distributions are on file. A stated payout policy — or enough declared distributions to fit one — unblocks it.
What is on file:
- 2-vessel fleet —
- realized fleet TCE of $32,600/day in 2026Q2
Every company's position on the modelling chain, and what each page can and cannot answer yet: coverage.
Market context — rates, the dividend, and the price
Fleet rate
Reported fleet TCE. This company declares no dividend, so there is nothing to pay out against it.
How we got the number
How to read this page
Every figure here is built the same way: the fleet's vessel-days are priced at the rate its classes earned, costs and debt service come off, and what is left is measured against the dividend the company actually declared. Nothing is estimated where it can be sourced, and a number that cannot be sourced is withheld rather than filled in. The full method, and the rates behind it →
Where ALNG.OL departs from that
- No market index covers this fleet's vessel types, so each is priced at the company's own last realized rate per calendar vessel-day (revenue divided by vessel-days), held flat — the revenue track record shows how that has done.
What drives it — fleet TCE, 2026Q3
Financials & fleet
Latest quarter 2026Q2 2 qtrs old
2× lngc current
Revenue model track record model vs realized
Each quarter priced at the previous quarter's realized rate, held flat — the figure the model holds once that quarter is reported — against the rate the fleet actually realized. Average miss 20.6% over 5 backtested quarters.
| Quarter | Record | Model $/day | Realized $/day | Model rev $M | Realized rev $M | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025Q2 | backtest | 46,000 | 42,600 | 8.4 | 7.8 | +8.0% |
| 2025Q3 | backtest | 42,600 | 57,800 | 7.8 | 10.6 | -26.3% |
| 2025Q4 | backtest | 57,800 | 37,600 | 10.6 | 6.9 | +53.7% |
| 2026Q1 | backtest | 37,600 | 34,200 | 6.8 | 6.2 | +9.9% |
| 2026Q2 | backtest | 34,200 | 32,600 | 6.2 | 5.9 | +4.9% |
Backtest rows apply today's rule to past quarters using only the prior quarters' reported rates; live rows are the forecast as frozen on the date shown. Revenue is rate × vessel-days, so a miss here is a rate miss.
Fleet model — 2026Q3
Fleet model estimate — not issuer guidance.
| Class | Ships | TC | Spot | % Fixed | Guided $/d | Spot $/d | Blended $/d | QTD rev $M | Modeled Q rev $M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lngc | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 32,600 | — | 6.0 |
| Total | 2 | 32,600 | — | 6.0 | |||||
Guided rates are issuer-booked cover for 2026Q3 blended with the company's own realized rates for the open days.
Bear uses booked coverage only; Base prices open vessels at the company's own last realized fleet rate — no market index covers this fleet, so there is no peak-index Bull case.
Expected DPS suppressed: modeled fleet earnings do not clear the cash break-even, so there is no distributable cash.
Expected DPS suppressed: no verbatim payout policy located in the corpus.
Model gaps & assumptions
lngc: no index and no guidance — priced at the issuer's own last realized fleet rate $32,600/day (2026Q2, issuer's printed figure), held flat (owner ruling 2026-09-26) · one-model DPS not used: fewer than 3 quarters of rate and dividend history, no break-even, or it does not explain the company's own dividends (R² < 0.5) · DPS chain unscoreable — missing: payout ratio (no quantified policy, no payout multiple in the quarter files); share count
Realized fleet TCE
Realized fleet TCE versus benchmark: 6 points, 2025-01-01 to 2026-04-01; Realized fleet TCE latest 32,600.00.
Benchmark comparison will appear once issuer-printed benchmark data is available.
Guidance & sources
Sources — press, filings & documents
Press & filings by quarter
Recent documents
- mfn 2026-08-18T07:30:00 ALNG ASA - Second quarter 2026 results (2026-08-18) report
- newsweb 2026-08-18T05:30:00Z ALNG ASA – Second quarter 2026 results (2026-08-18) report
- mfn 2026-08-12T16:03:48 ALNG: Financial calendar (2026-08-12)
- newsweb 2026-08-12T14:03:48Z Financial calendar (2026-08-12)
- mfn 2026-08-05T16:44:21 ALNG ASA - EXTRAORDINARY GENERAL MEETING HELD (2026-08-05) pdf
- newsweb 2026-08-05T14:44:21Z ALNG ASA – EXTRAORDINARY GENERAL MEETING HELD (2026-08-05) pdf
- mfn 2026-07-10T12:53:53 ALNG ASA - NOTICE OF EXTRAORDINARY GENERAL MEETING (2026-07-10) pdf
- newsweb 2026-07-10T10:53:53Z ALNG ASA – NOTICE OF EXTRAORDINARY GENERAL MEETING (2026-07-10) pdf
- mfn 2026-06-10T14:29:05 ALNG: New name ALNG ASA registered (2026-06-10)
- newsweb 2026-06-10T12:29:05Z New name ALNG ASA registered (2026-06-10)
- mfn 2026-06-04T21:20:46 ALNG ASA - Mandatory notification of trade (2026-06-04) pdf
- newsweb 2026-06-04T19:20:46Z ALNG ASA – Mandatory notification of trade (2026-06-04) pdf